Daily Market Commentary

CNBC Asks Adam About The New Fed Chair

Thursday, November 2, 2017

Stocks gyrate as Wall Street digs through details of tax reform bill

  • The S&P 500 traded off its lows as a sharp gain in the financials sector helped the index pare earlier losses.
  • The plan would cut mortgage interest deductions in half. However, it would keep retirement savings plans like the popular 401(k) intact.
U.S. equities gyrated on Thursday as investors examined the details of the tax-reform plan proposed by Republicans.
The plan would permanently lower the corporate tax rate to 20 percent. It would also keep retirement savings plans like the popular 401(k) intact.
The Dow Jones industrial average traded 31 points higher after briefly falling 84 points. Shares of Travelers were the best-performers on the 30-stock index.
“People are building their frameworks, but no one knows where this is going to go,” said Jeremy Bryan, portfolio manager at Gradient Investments.
The S&P 500 traded off its lows as a sharp gain in the financials sector helped the index pare earlier losses. Shares of Allstate were among the best-performing stocks in the financials sector.
Shares of T. Rowe Price, meanwhile, jumped to trade 1.7 percent higher as asset managers reacted positively to the 401(k) news.
DJIA Dow Jones Industrial Average 23457.59
22.58 0.10%
S&P 500 S&P 500 Index 2574.64
-4.72 -0.18%
NASDAQ NASDAQ Composite 6707.79
-8.75 -0.13%
Yet, the plan would also cut mortgage interest deductions in half and then hit homebuilder and consumer-related shares. Also, it lowers the tax rate on repatriated cash to 12 percent.
Homebuilder stocks took a hit, with the SPDR S&P Homebuilders exchange-traded fund (XHB) sliding 2.4 percent. Shares of Toll Brothers fell 5.6 percent, while M.D.C. Holdings pulled back 10.2 percent.
The Nasdaq composite slipped 0.1 percent as tech investors were left disappointed with the 12 percent rate on repatriated cash. A lot of big tech companies have scores of cash outside of the U.S.
“The market sees this as a disadvantage to consumption in favor of more long-term investments,” said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at BMO Private Bank. “Consumption is a short-term endeavor while investment is more long-term.”
The full bill was released Thursday morning. President Donald Trump touted this as “the biggest tax event in the history of our country” on Tuesday.
“Nothing is easy, however, and there is still tension over what tax provisions can be limited or eliminated to offset aggressive cuts in marginal corporate and personal rates. A balance will need to be struck,” Steve Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard, said in a note.
The increasing prospects of tax reform have recently helped U.S. stocks reach record levels.
Phil Blancato, CEO of Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management, said “the market still doesn’t believe tax reform will get done this year,” however. “There are too many Senate Republicans that are not behind this plan.”
Top White House economic advisor Gary Cohn said Trump would support the bill so long as it preserves key elements.
Investors also awaited to see who will be the next Fed chair. Trump is expected to make his announcement later on Thursday, with most expecting the president to tap Fed Governor Jerome Powell for the position.
“Powell is dovish. The current Fed chair, Janet Yellen, is dovish. I think the market has priced in a dovish Fed chair,” said Adam Sarhan, CEO of 50 Park Investments. “Central banks are slowly raising rates, but they are still very low relative to historical levels.”
Wall Street also kept an eye on earnings after tech giant Facebook posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Facebook reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.59, well above the expected $1.28.
Companies set to report Thursday after the bell include Apple, Starbucks and CBS.
Overall, earnings have mostly outperformed expectations this season, adding to the stock market’s already strong gains for the year. As of Thursday morning, nearly 74 percent of the companies that have reported have surpassed earnings expectations, according to FactSet.

LINK: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/02/us-stocks-fed-chair-tax-reform.html