Debt Deadline; To Be, Or Not To Be?

Monday, July 25, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks opened lower due to the ongoing debt saga in Washington D.C. However, the bulls showed up and quelled the bearish pressure after Republicans and Democrats prepared separate plans to raise the debt limit before the August 2, 2011 deadline. It was very encouraging to see the Nasdaq 100 break out of its current multi month base and hit new 2011 high on Friday! Technically, it is encouraging to see the major average find support and bounce off their respective 50 DMA lines in the middle of July. Looking forward, the next level of support are the 2011 lows/the 200 DMA lines and the next level of resistance are the 2011 highs.

Debt Deadline, Greek Debt Cut (Again), & Earnings Continue In Droves!

On Monday, news spread that both Republicans and Democrats prepared separate plans to raise the debt limit and to avoid a technical default by next Tuesday. In Europe, Moody’s, the popular rating agency, cut Greece’s debt rating further into junk territory which added to the downward pressure in equity markets across much of the developed world. As the political drama continues to unfold, a slew of companies are slated to released their Q2 results this week. So far, over +80% of the S&P 500 companies that reported earnings topped estimates which bodes well for the ongoing economic recovery. Here is a short list of some of the high ranked/high profile companies slated to release Q2 results this week: BIDU, AMZN, NFLX, GMCR, WFM, ACOM, POT, DECK, JAZZ, CRR, CLF, SRCL, BIIB, & TNAV. As always, in addition to analyzing the actual numbers we tend to focus on how a company (and the market) reacts to data.

Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally

The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the recent action suggests the rally is back in a confirmed rally as all the major averages are now flirting with fresh 2011 highs. Until all the major averages violate their respective 50 DMA lines on a closing basis, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
 

Stock Market Research?

Global Macro Research?

Want To Follow Trends?

Learn How We Can Help You!

 

Similar Posts

  • EU Summit Fails To Impress; Germany & France Maybe Downgraded!

    Monday, December 12, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Risk assets fell hard on Monday after the much anticipated EU summit failed to make any significant headway which raised concerns that several EU states may be downgraded.  From our point of view, the market confirmed its latest rally attempt on Wednesday, November 30, 2011 when all the major averages soared over +4% on monstrous…

  • Stocks Look Past Lousy Confidence Data

    The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks, while many pundits are expecting that markets may consolidate following recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) again today. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Shrug Off Italy Downgrade

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Healthy Week On Wall St; Stocks Close Above Resistance!

    It was a very constructive week on Wall Street as all the major averages traded above their respective two month downward trendlines and their respective 50 DMA lines. It was also encouraging to see the Dow Jones Industrial Average & and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite close above their longer term downward sloping 200 DMA lines. There is no point in fighting the tape and the bulls deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt until this “breakout” is negated. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Continue To Slide

    Market Action- Rally Under Pressure; Week 26
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. From our point of view, the market remains in rally-mode until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.
    Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
    Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!