Economic Data Helps Stocks

Thursday, May 12, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks and a host of commodities stopped falling after the latest round of economic data was released. Oil, silver, gold, and a host of other closely followed commodities fell after a brief rebound from last week’s week-long “Flash Crash.” From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.

Producer Prices & Retail Sales Miss Estimates, Jobless Claims Fall

Before Thursday’s open, a slew of economic data was released. Producer prices rose 0.8% which topped the 0.6% estimate. Elsewhere, retail sales rose +0.5% which was just shy of the +0.6% estimate and suggests consumers are still having a tough time dealing with surging fuel prices. The Labor Department said jobless claimsslid by –44,000 last week to 434,000. Even though jobless claims fell for the week, the four-week average rose +4,000 to 436,750 which is not ideal. 

Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure

From our point of view, the market rally is under pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this stage.  Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Want Better Results?

You Need Better Ideas!

We Know Markets!

Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Week In Review: Bears Are Getting Stronger

    Bears Are Getting Stronger The stock market is getting weaker, not stronger. Over the past few months we have been letting our readers know about all the bearish signals that were emerging on our radar. Notwithstanding more easy money from the Fed/other central banks, the market appears to be forming a major top. Leadership has narrowed substantially…

  • Quiet Day On Wall Street

    Heretofore, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong but the market action has been wide-and-loose which is not a healthy sign. The S&P 500 sliced below its two month upward trendline (shown above) which is not ideal. The next level of support for the major averages is their September highs, then their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. We have enjoyed large gains since the September 1st FTD and for the first time, the tape is getting sloppy. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: The Market Is Getting Weaker, Not Stronger

    The Tape Is Getting Weaker The tape remains very split but is getting weaker. This was the 8th consecutive week that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial average closed below their respective 50 DMA lines. More worrisome for the bulls, the Russell 2000 broke below the neckline of a big double top pattern (see…

  • Stocks Bounce Off Support

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    The market is back in a correction after another failed follow-through day on Tuesday, June 21, 2011. Now that we are back in a correction, defense remains the best offense. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200 DMA lines and then their March lows. The next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines. Trade accordingly.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday, June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. On June 21, 2011 we changed our Market Outlook to a “Confirmed Rally” after the latest FTD was produced. Two days later, on Thursday, June 23, 2011, our outlook changed to “Market In A Correction” after the market sold off hard on renewed economic woes. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!