For the longest time we have made the case that Wall Street is ready for a rate hike but Main Street is not. The following chart, courtesy of our friends at Reuters/Eikon, shows how the S&P 500 has surged since 2009 but GDP has yet to “take-off.”
The simple premise is that if the price of security (or market) is trading above a moving average then the action is healthy and if the price is trading below an important moving average then the action is not as healthy. It is also important to note that it is healthy to see a stock (or market) move back to a moving average on light volume during an uptrend (converse is also true) and then bounce off that moving average on higher volume (ideal scenario). This natural occurrence is actually considered healthy as most leading stocks (and markets) tend to do this during a protected uptrend. That said, moving averages offer prudent investors a healthy chance to accumulate a position as the underlying investment pulls back to a logical area of support. However, a technical sell signal will be triggered once an important moving average is broken (especially if volume is heavy) and that is an important warning sign most investors should look for.
The first decade of the new millennium will go down in history as a decade plagued with a series of booms and busts. Over the past 10 years, there were five major bubbles that captured the world’s attention: Tech/Dot-com (98-00), Housing/Credit (00-07), Emerging markets 00-07, Energy (crude oil) (02-08), and Gold (00-09). After all was said and done, US stocks actually lost ground and the major indices ended lower over the past 10 years for the first time since the 1930’s.
The following is an excerpt from a FindLeadingStocks.com intra week update. FLS Update: 10.07.14 Defense Is King Market Forming A Large Topping Pattern & Germany Is In A Bear Market The market is in the process of forming a large topping pattern that began earlier this summer and not surprisingly overlaps with the end of QE 3…
On Friday stocks sold off as investors unloaded their positions ahead of the the weekend. The catalyst which precipitated this sell off was Dubai World’s trouble restructuring their debt. Dubai World, the most indebted of Dubai’s state-sponsored companies, is seen as a barometer for the health of the financial nexus.
Th Inverse Correlation Explained:
In the recent past, there has been an inverse correlation between the U.S. dollar and dollar denominated assets (mainly stocks and commodities). By definition, the inverse correlation states that stocks and commodities (which are priced in dollars) will fall when the dollar rallies. Since early December, the greenback has steadily rallied which has put pressure on several capital markets. As the following few charts show, on a relative basis, crude oil is the hardest hit, followed by gold, then U.S. equities. What does this mean? We’ll let you draw your own conclusions by commenting below.
Several Strong Setups: One thing I look for each week is strong setups. Anyone can be a great Monday morning QB and say – look at how strong XYZ is AFTER it broke out. For me, I find the real value is finding the gems before everyone else. Advanced Entry/Exit Points In Leading Stocks &…