Daily Market Commentary

S&P, Dow And Nasdaq Post Record Closes Despite French Election Fears

Friday, February 17, 2017
U.S. equities closed mixed on Friday, but managed another record close, while investors kept an eye on France’s presidential election.
“Investors right now continue to shrug off almost all bearish news and continue buying stocks,” said Adam Sarhan, CEO of 50 Park Investments. “Pullbacks now last hours; not days.”
“Right now, we’re in a state of unadulterated buying in the market,” he said.
The Dow Jones industrial average closed just above breakeven, with UnitedHealth contributing the most losses and Boeing the most gains.
The S&P 500 closed 0.1 percent higher, with telecommunications outperforming. The telecommunications sector, which had been one of the worst performers for most of Friday’s session, erased losses in afternoon trade. Reuters reported that Japan’s SoftBank Group is prepared to give up control of Sprint to T-Mobile to clinch a merger of the two U.S. wireless carriers.
The Nasdaq composite outperformed, gaining 0.4 percent as the tech sector posted a 13-day winning streak. The indexes also posted weekly gains of more than 1 percent.
Dow, S&P and Nasdaq This Week:
Stocks traded mostly lower throughout Friday’s session, as investors digested the market’s recent gains.
“It’s not a surprise to see the market pause here,” said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial. “The question is whether this is the beginning of a pullback or just a pause.”
The three major indexes had posted record closing highs five straight sessions before closing mixed Thursday. Lifting stocks were the prospects of President Donald Trump presenting a “phenomenal” tax plan soon, as well as solid economic data.
Trump held his first solo news conference Thursday, in which he berated the media and boasted about his accomplishments.
“If he doesn’t straighten it out in the next, I would say, 30 days, people will just stop listening to him,” said Maris Ogg, president at Tower Bridge Advisors.
Data released Thursday pointed to improving economic conditions in the U.S., with the Philadelphia Federal Reserve manufacturing index hitting its highest level since 1984, while weekly jobless claims remained around their lowest levels in decades.
The only major economic data released Friday are leading indicators, which rose 0.6 percent in January.

“When you look at the underlying fundamentals, they’re quite good. The big question on the horizon is Marine Le Pen,” said Tower Bridge’s Ogg. “If she wins, we’re going to have a recession.”
According to recent polls, Le Pen — France’s far-right, anti-European Union candidate — is the favorite to win the first round of voting, scheduled for April. However, it is not clear whether she will win the run-off vote in May.
Socialist Benoit Hamon and hard-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon held talks Friday about possibly joining forces to beat Le Pen. French bond yields ticked higher on the news, pushing the spread between 10-year French sovereigns and German bunds above 70 basis points.
However, “that simultaneously increases the chances for Le Pen to win because center-right voters might be more inclined to vote for her or not turn out,” said Luke Bartholomew, investment manager at Aberdeen Asset Management.
The pan-European Stoxx 600 index rose marginally on Friday, and posted weekly gains.
U.S. Treasurys rose, with the benchmark 10-year note yield falling to 2.42 percent and the short-term two-year note yield declining to 1.19 percent.
“With risk aversion rippling across the board amid the ongoing uncertainty, Wall Street may be vulnerable to further losses,” said Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM.
“Although global stocks have repeatedly hit record highs from the ‘Trump effect,’ markets could find themselves under renewed selling pressure if the proposed fiscal stimulus and tax cuts fall below market expectations,” he said.
DJIA Dow Industrials 20624.05
4.28 0.02%
S&P 500 S&P 500 Index 2351.16
3.94 0.17%
NASDAQ NASDAQ Composite 5838.58
23.68 0.41%
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 4.28 points, or 0.02 percent, to close at 20,624.05, with Verizon leading advancers and UnitedHealth the top decliner.
The S&P 500 gained 3.94 points, or 0.17 percent, to end at 2,351.16, with telecommunications leading eight sectors higher and energy lagging.
The Nasdaq composite advanced 23.68 points, or 0.41 percent, to close at 5,838.58.
Decliners were a step ahead of advancers at the New York Stock Exchange, with an exchange volume of 944.57 million and a composite volume of 3.502 billion at the close.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, traded near 11.5.
High-frequency trading accounted for 52 percent of February’s daily trading volume of about 6.81 billion shares, according to TABB Group. During the peak levels of high-frequency trading in 2009, about 61 percent of 9.8 billion of average daily shares traded were executed by high-frequency traders.