Stocks End Near Lows As Dollar Rallies

Thursday, March 25, 2010
Market Commentary:

The major averages ended near their intraday lows after France and Germany backed an IMF supported plan to help Greece. The volume totals on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange were reported slightly higher compared to Wednesday’s totals.  Decliners led advancers by a 22-to-17 ratio on the NYSE and by a 16-to-10 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 58 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, higher than the 29 issues that appeared on the prior session. New 52-week highs again overwhelmingly trumped new lows on both exchanges

Euro Falls After EU Taps IMF:

French President Nicolas Sarkozy agreed with German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s proposal to ask the IMF to help rescue Greece. As expected, the euro continued its week long plunge as investors fear that other European nations will soon need to be bailed out. The European Union held a summit in Brussels that came close to officially calling for the IMF to provide emergency funds for Greece in addition to bilateral loans from other European nations. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said the bank will extend its emergency collateral rules beyond 2010 which will help Greece emerge from the worst economic crisis since WWII. In other news, Dubai said that it plans to restructure $9.5 billion in Dubai World debt.

Healthy Economic Data Helped Stocks:

In the US, stocks opened higher after the Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell to the lowest level in six weeks and Fed Chief, Ben Bernanke, testified on Capital Hill. Weekly jobless claims showed that first-time jobless applications slid by -14,000 to 442,000 in the week ended March 20 which was lower than expected. The report bodes well for the ailing jobs market. It was also reassuring to see a new batch of leaders breakout of sound bases as the major averages continue advancing.

Market Action-  Confirmed Rally

The fact that there has only been two distribution days since the follow-though-day (FTD) bodes well for this nascent rally. It is also a welcome sign to see the market continue to improve as investors digest the latest round of stronger than expected economic and earnings data. Remember that now that a new rally has been confirmed, the window is open to proactively be buying high quality breakouts meeting the investment system guidelines. Trade accordingly.

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    Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally:
    The major U.S. averages are back in a new confirmed rally and are flirting with resistance of their current 2.5 month base. The benchmark S&P 500 index scored a proper FTD on Tuesday, October 18, 2011 when it rallied over 2% on heavier volume than the prior session. The next important area of resistance is September’s highs and then the 200 DMA line. In addition, it is important to note that the bulls scored a victory since many of the major averages closed above their downward sloping 50 DMA lines for the first time since late July! Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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    On Tap This Week:
    WEDNESDAY: Weekly mortgage apps, CPI, housing starts, Fed’s Rosengren speaks, oil inventories, Fed’s Beige Book; Earnings from Morgan Stanley, Travelers, United Tech, AmEx, Ebay, Western Digital
    THURSDAY: Jobless claims, existing home sales, Philadelphia Fed survey, leading indicators, Fed’s Bullard and Kocherlakota speak, NewsCorp investor day; Earnings from AT&T, Eli Lilly, Nokia, AutoNation, Microsoft, Capital One, Chipotle and SanDisk
    FRIDAY: Fed’s Kocherlakota speaks, 2011 Dodd-Frank Rulemaking Deadline; Earnings from GE, McDonald’s, Verizon, Honeywell and Schlumberger
    Source: CNBC.com

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