Stocks Smacked on Sour Debt, Economic, & Earnings Data

Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks were smacked on Wednesday after durable goods and the Fed’s beige book failed to impress, the debt stalemate in D.C. continued, and the latest round of earnings data was not thrilling. It is a bit worrisome to see the Nasdaq 100 negate its latest breakout and pull back along side the other major averages. Technically, the current rally is under pressure as all the major averages are pulling back towards their respective 50 DMA lines. The Dow Jones Industrial Average & benchmark S&P 500 index sliced and closed below their respective 50 DMA line which is not a healthy sign. Looking forward, the next level of support are the 2011 lows/the 200 DMA lines and the next level of resistance are the 2011 highs.

Debt Deadline Approaches, Economic Data & Earnings Fail To Impress:

Stocks opened lower on Wednesday as the debt stalemate continued in D.C. and investors digested the latest round of tepid economic and mixed earnings data. On the economic front, durable goods orders slid -2.1% in June which was much lower than the Street’s forecast for a gain of +0.4%. A separate report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said manufacturing output in the Midwest region was weaker in June which does not bode well for the ongoing economic recovery. The Fed’s Beige Book showed that economic growth was moving forward at a very slow rate.
Earnings data was mixed as a slew of large cap stocks released their Q2 results. Shares of Cisco System’s (CSCO) and Juniper Networks (JNPR) both gapped down after releasing their Q2 results. Meanwhile, Amazon.com (AMZN) and Boeing (BA) rallied after reporting solid Q2 results. Elsewhere, the political stalemate continued in D.C. which led many to question whether or not the U.S.’ AAA credit rating may be cut by one of the popular rating agencies. Moreover, investors are concerned what the ramifications of such a cut would mean for the global financial system.

Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure

The latest action in the major averages suggests the current rally is under pressure. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the recent action suggests caution is paramount at this stage until all the major averages rally back towards their respective 2011 highs. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
 

Stock Market Research?

Global Macro Research?

Want To Follow Trends?

Learn How We Can Help You!

 

Similar Posts

  • Week In Review: Stocks Fall As Greece Drama Continues

    Stocks End Week Lower As Greek Drama Continues Stocks fell hard on Monday after it became clear that Greece would default on its debt and literally shut down their entire banking system for the week. Greece missed its latest payment to the IMF and became the first developed nation to default on their debt in modern history….

  • S&P 500 Violates 50 DMA Line!

    Market Outlook- Uptrend Under Pressure:
    The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the current rally is under pressure as investors patiently await earnings season and continue to digest the latest economic data. Until the major averages violate their respective 50 DMA lines on a closing basis, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Rally Ends; Stocks Smacked

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    The market is back in a correction after another failed follow-through day on Tuesday, June 21, 2011. Now that we are back in a correction, defense remains the best offense. The next level of support for the major averages are their respective 200 DMA lines and then their March lows. The next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines. Trade accordingly.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday, June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. On June 21, 2011 we changed our Market Outlook to a “Confirmed Rally” after the latest FTD was produced. Two days later, on Thursday, June 23, 2011, our outlook changed to “Market In A Correction” after the market sold off hard on renewed economic woes. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Tank As Correction Take Hold

    The market is currently in a correction which, according to historical precedent, suggests 3 out of 4 stocks will follow the market lower until a new follow-through day emerges. That said, taking the appropriate action on a case-by-case basis with your stocks prompts investors to raise cash when any holdings start getting in trouble. It is also important to note that the major averages have experienced multiple “corrections” since the March 2009 lows and each one has been mild at best (less than a -10% decline from the recent high). Therefore, it will be very interesting to see how low this correction goes before the bulls show up and defend support. Additionally, it is important to note that the market can go much lower (or higher) than anyone thinks; so it is of the utmost importance to filter out the “noise” and carefully analyze price and volume action of the major average for the best read on the health of the market.