Stocks Pullback To Consolidate Monday's Move

Monday, August 3, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks pulled back to consolidate Monday’s move as investors digested a series of lacklsuter economic and earnings data. Volume totals were reportedly mixed; higher on the Nasdaq exchange and lower on the NYSE which marked a distribution day for the Nasdaq composite. Decliners led advancers on the NYSE by a 23-to-15 ratio and by a 2-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange.  There were 27 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 57 issues that appeared on the prior session.

Tepid Economic Data Weighs On Stocks:

The market digested a slew of weaker than expected economic data ranging from the ailing housing market to the US consumer. The National Association of Realtors said pending home resales in the US unexpectedly fell -2.6% from the prior month.  Much of the decline was due to waning demand after the government tax credit expired. The report fell short of the Street’s estimates for a gain of +4%. Meanwhile, a separate report showed that factory orders slid -1.2% in June, which doubled the decline analysts’ expected. Finally, the Commerce Department said consumer spending was unchanged after a +0.1% gain in the prior month. The report also showed that US incomes did not increase for the first time since September 2009 while the savings rate jumped to the highest level in a year.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

At this point, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and the NYSE Composite indexes have all traded above resistance at their long term 200-day moving average (DMA) lines and recent chart highs. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and small-cap Russell 2000 index remain slightly below their recent chart highs. However, the fact that all of the major averages are trading above their respective 2-month downward trendlines bodes well for this five week rally. In order for a new leg higher to begin, all the major averages must close and remain above their respective resistance levels. Remember that the window remains open for for high-ranked stocks to be accumulated when they trigger fresh technical buy signals. Trade accordingly.

Are you Capitalizing On The Current Rally?
If not, Contact us to learn about our Money Management Services. Act Now!

Similar Posts

  • Weak Economic Data Drags Stocks Lower

    Monday marked Day 2 of a new rally attempt which means the earliest a possible follow-through day (FTD) could emerge will be Wednesday. However, if at anytime, Friday’s lows (Day 1) are breached then the day count will be reset. The technical action in the major averages has recently been weak while the latest round of economic data has provided a poor outlook for the market and the global recovery. Currently, resistance for the the major averages are their 50-day moving average (DMA) lines, then their longer-term 200 DMA lines while support remains July’s lows. It is also disconcerting to see weakness in the financial group. Meanwhile, the action in leading stocks and fact that some high-ranked leaders are breaking out of sound bases can be considered somewhat encouraging. Still there is importance in remaining cautious until the major averages are back in a confirmed uptrend. Put simply, we can expect this sideways/choppy action to continue until the market breaks out above resistance or below support. The first scenario will have bullish ramifications while the second will be clearly bearish. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks Edged Higher For The Week As Earnings Season Begins

    Stocks Edged Higher Last Week As Earnings Season Begins In Thursday’s pre-market report we noted that the market was ripe to rally, little did we know the Dow would soar nearly 300 points by the close. That’s just the way Wall Street works, when people want to step up and buy, they buy. Conversely, when…

  • 6th Consecutive Weekly Decline

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines then their 2011 highs. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Shrug Off Italy Downgrade

    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure:
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when several distribution days emerge or August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *