Stocks Digest Fed Meeting, Retail Sales, & PPI Data

Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks rallied as the USD fell and China said it will hold rates steady even though inflation is accelerating. Market internals remain healthy, evidenced by an advancing advance/decline line and an expanding number of stocks reaching new 52-week highs.

Retail Sales & PPI Rise; Fed Meeting:

US retail sales topped estimates and in November as holiday shopping began. The stronger than expected report was a welcomed sign and bodes well for the ongoing economic recovery. Elsewhere, the Labor Department said the US producer price index (PPI) rose last month by the largest amount in eight months due to higher food and energy prices. The PPI rose +0.8% from the prior month after a +0.4% rise. Core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose +1.2% from the same period last year which was the smallest increase in five months and matched estimates. At 2:15pm EST, the Federal Federal Reserve decided to hold rates steady and largely reaffirmed their recent stance on the ongoing economic recovery.

Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally Week 16

It is encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the 50 DMA lines for the major averages. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Are You Looking For Someone To Manage Your Money?
Our Private Wealth Management Services Can Help You!

Sarhan Wealth Management provides both global macro and equity only consulting services to high net worth and institutional clients around the world. For years, our clientele has participated in the firm’s objective market-based outlook, which has one primary goal: to provide robust trading ideas across all asset classes. Since 2004 we have outperformed the S&P 500 on a regular basis. These results are based solely on our weekly research. All our historical data is available upon request.
How we can improve your performance:

  • Achieve better results in the market by working with an objective third party.
  • Provide you with sound buy/sell ideas in real-time.
  • Provide objective feedback on your investment ideas and market outlook.
  • Contribute profitable ideas to your investment committee (if applicable).
  • All investment ideas are fully transparent, unbiased, and based on market action, not opinions.
  • Help create uniformed structure within your organization.

Contact Us To Learn How We Can Help You!

Similar Posts

  • Stocks Mixed, Commodities Down; USD Up

    Heretofore, the action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong but the market action has been wide-and-loose which is not a healthy sign. The S&P 500 sliced below its two month upward trendline (shown above) which is not ideal. The next level of support for the major averages is their September highs, then their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. We have enjoyed large gains since the September 1st FTD and for the first time, the tape is getting sloppy. Trade accordingly.

  • 46 Week Rally Ends; Market In A Correction

    The major averages and leading stocks are now in a correction as the major averages sliced and closed below their respective multi month upward trend lines and their 50 DMA lines on Friday. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data. The recent series of distribution days coupled with the deleterious action in the major averages suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. The market just ended its 46th week since the March lows and we are now waiting for a new follow-through day to be produced before resuming any buying efforts. Until that occurs, patience is key, and the path of least resistance is down. Trade Accordingly.

  • Stocks End Higher As Crude & Copper Slice Below 200 DMA Lines

    The NYSE composite closed below its respective 200 DMA line for the second straight session which is not a healthy sign. Furthermore, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite undercut last Monday’s lows which means the day count has been reset for those indexes. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has yet to violate last Monday’s low which means that it just finished Day 6 of its current rally attempt and the window for a proper FTD remains open (until 5.10.10’s low of 10,386 is breached). What does all this mean for investors? Simple, the market is in a correction which reiterates the importance of adopting a defense stance until a new rally is confirmed. Trade accordingly.

  • Week In Review- Stocks End Mixed

    Looking at the recent action in the market, the major averages continue acting well as they remain perched just below resistance (their respective 2009 highs) and above their respective 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. Both these factors are considered healthy and bodes well for this 8-month rally. The Nasdaq continues to experience formidable resistance just above 2,200 while the benchmark S&P 500 Index faces resistance just above 1,115. The blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average remains the strongest of it peers and currently faces resistance just above 10,500. Until the major averages close above or below support or resistance, expect the bracketed (sideways) action to continue.

  • Stocks Negatively Reverse From Resistance

    Thursday, July 29, 2010 Stock Market Commentary: The major averages negatively reversed after encountering resistance near their prior chart highs. Volume, an important indicator of institutional sponsorship, was higher than Wednesday’s session which marked a distribution day for the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange. Advancers led decliners by a 20-to-17 ratio on the NYSE and were about even on…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *