Two Year Anniversary From The Bear Market Low

Tuesday, March 08, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

On Tuesday, stocks snapped a two day losing streak after oil prices fell from post-recession highs. The current crisis in the Middle East remains in flux which is putting upward pressure on oil and gold and some modest pressure on equities. The benchmark S&P 500 is up nearly 100% from its March 2009 low, and still about -16% off its all time high from October 2007. On average, market internals remain healthy as the major averages bounced after finding support near their respective 50 DMA lines in late February.

Oil Prices Fall; Stocks Rally:

Stocks enjoyed healthy gains on Tuesday after OPEC said it may hold an “urgent meeting” to discuss the ongoing situation in the Middle East. Elsewhere, Sprint Nextel Corp. (S) surged after speculation spread that it may buy T-Mobile USA from Deutsche Telekom AG.  Tuesday marked the two year anniversary from the March 2009 bear market low. Since then, stocks surged as central banks around the world pumped trillions of dollars into the market and the economy to stimulate growth. History shows us that most bull markets last 24-36 months which makes this 24 month bull market still in its prime.

Market Action- Rally Under Pressure; Week 28

It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines in November, January, late February, and early March. From our point of view, the market remains in rally-mode until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

Have You Seen Our New Site?
Visit: www.SarhanCapital.com now!

 

Similar Posts

  • Earnings Season Begins; Stocks Fall

    On Monday, we penned, “After three strong weeks of gains, the market appears to be showing signs that a near-term pullback might be in the cards. A slew of stocks negatively reversed (opened higher and closed lower) on Monday, which suggests a change in trend may unfold.” Therefore, Tuesday’s pullback was somewhat expected as the major averages (and leading stocks) pause to consolidate their recent gains. Is the rally over? No, but all we have to do is be cognizant of the fact that a near term pullback may occur and then trade accordingly. From our point of view, the current, 45-week rally, remains intact as long as the major averages continue trading above their respective 50 DMA lines. Until those levels are breached, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt.

  • Stocks Snap A 4 Week Losing Streak- 2.12.10

    Friday, February 12, 2010 Market Commentary: The major averages snapped a four week losing streak after the EU said it will help Greece with its ballooning budget deficits. Stocks closed lower on Monday after concern spread that several European countries may default on their debt. Greece, Spain and Portugal are the three primary suspects for the latest sovereign debt crisis.  Monday- Friday Review:

  • Another Volatile Week On Wall Street

    The benchmark S&P 500 Index marked Day 13 of its current rally attempt while narrowly avoiding undercutting its 5/25/10 low thus far but failed to score a proper FTD due to the light volume that accompanied Thursday’s strong move. The Dow Jones Industrial Average marked Day 4 of its latest rally attempt while the Nasdaq composite marked day 2. It is well known that a market should not be considered “healthy” unless it trades above its rising 200-day moving average (DMA) line. The fact that all the major averages are below both their 50 & 200 DMA lines bodes poorly for the near term. That said, the bears will likely remain in control until the popular averages close above their important moving averages. Remember, we have seen these very strong light volume rallies in the past only to fail a few days later. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Advance on Hopes of More Central Bank Easing

    Friday, August 10, 2012 Stock Market Commentary: On average, risk-on assets rallied as hope spread that we will see more easing from global central banks. The latest round of economic and earnings data did little to excite investors as the data continues to be blasé at best. Some market participants are hoping that this lackluster…

  • Relatively Flat Week on Wall Street

    The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been very strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks, while many pundits are expecting that markets may consolidate following recent gains. It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend support (formerly resistance) in recent weeks. The next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *