Week-In-Review: Stocks End Week Flat As Earnings Continue

Stocks End Week Flat As Earnings Continue

It was another volatile week on Wall Street. Stocks ended flat as investors digested a slew of earnings reports and the bulls showed up and defended the longer term 200 DMA line. The major indices opened the week with a big selloff and then the bulls showed up right on cue and defended the 200 DMA line and stocks bounced back in the latter half of the week to end relatively flat to slightly lower. So far, earnings remain strong but a lot of that was already priced in so we are seeing a somewhat sluggish reaction on Wall Street. In the short term the 50 DMA line is the next area of resistance to watch while the 200 DMA line is the next area of support. Stepping back, we have to expect this sloppy sideways action to continue until one of those important areas are broken. From where I sit, the market looks like it wants to rally from here it is just taking a break to digest the very strong 2 -year rally we just enjoyed. Stay tuned, because a lot more earnings are slated to be released over the next few weeks. 

Mon-Wed Action:

Stocks were very quiet on Monday as investors waited for a busy week of earnings to be released. Stocks fell over 500 points on Tuesday even as earnings remained mostly positive. Separately, the yield on the 10-year treasury note topped 3% for the first time since 2014. CAT gapped up nicely after reporting earnings but the stock fell during the session. GOOGL fell nearly 5% after reporting earnings, even though the company beat on both the top and bottom line. Tuesday’s action came after the major indices failed to trade above their declining 50 DMA lines, which is not a healthy sign.

Stocks were quiet on Wednesday as a slew of mostly stronger-than-expected earnings were released. Big stocks such as BA, TWTR, FB QCOM, T, V, EBAY, and Ford were some of the well-known names to report numbers. Elsewhere, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield traded at 3.03%. Investors are concerned that higher rates may slow the economy and hurt companies’ ability to buy back their own stock. The fact that the bulls showed up and defended the longer term 200 DMA line (once again) is a bullish sign.

Thur & Fri Action:

Stocks rallied nicely on Thursday after the bulls showed up and defended the longer term 200 DMA line on Wednesday. Investors also digested a slew of earnings data from AMZN, MSFT, INTC, and several others reported earnings. Stocks were quiet on Friday after the government said the U.S. economy grew by 2.3% in Q1 2018, which beat the Street’s estimate for 2%. Stay tuned, because a lot more earnings are slated to be released over the next few weeks.

Market Outlook: Bulls Are Fighting

The market is trading between important resistance (2018’s high) and important support (February’s low). Until either level is broken, I have to expect this sloppy, sideways action to continue. On the downside, the big level of support to watch is February’s low and the 200 DMA line. For now, as long as those levels hold, the longer-term uptrend remains intact. Conversely, if those levels break, look out below. On the upside, resistance is now 2018’s high.  As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. Want 1-0n-1 Coaching Lessons From Adam? Click Here To Learn More

Similar Posts

  • Slower Economic Growth Ahead?

    Thursday, May 19, 2011
    Stock Market Commentary:
    Stocks and a host of commodities ended mixed after the latest economic data missed estimates. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly. From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.
    Lousy Economic Data Weighs On Stocks:
    Investors digested a slew of economic data on Thursday. On the plus side, the Labor Department said weekly jobless claims fell by -29,000 to 409,000 last week but the four-week average is still above 400,000. On the downside, existing homes sales missed estimates at a 5.05 million annual unit rate, down -0.8% in April and tanked -12.9% vs. the same period in 2010. Leading economic indicators fell -0.3% in April following a 0.7% jump in March. The report also missed the Street’s estimates. In other news, the Philly Fed Survey also missed estimates which suggests sluggish economic growth may be on the horizon.
    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
    From our point of view, the market rally is under serious pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this juncture. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds on a closing basis. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Want Better Results?
    You Need Better Ideas!
    We Know Markets!
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Stocks Get Smacked On Lackluster Economic Data

    Technically, the fact that both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Index continue falling after closing below their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines earlier this week suggests the market may retest its recent lows. Looking forward, the 50 DMA line may act as stubborn resistance and this month’s lows should act as support. Since the June 15, 2010 follow-through day (FTD), this column has steadily noted the importance of remaining very selective and disciplined because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) lines. This week’s sell-off simply confirms that view. Trade accordingly.

  • Week-In-Review: Stocks End Week Lower On Political Headlines

    Stocks End Week Lower On Political Headlines It has been a very busy time in D.C. In the last few weeks, Trump placed tariffs on Steel and Aluminium, said he may hit China with tariffs, then replaced his: Chief Economic Advisor, The Secretary Of State, The Head of the CIA, and his National Security Advisor might…

  • Stocks End Mixed After Hitting Fresh 2010 Lows!

    From our vantage point, the latest three day rally failed, evidenced by the ominous action in the major averages since Friday’s jobs report was released. It is well known that a market should not be considered “healthy” unless it trades above its rising 200-day moving average (DMA) line. The fact that all the major averages are below both their 50 & 200 DMA lines bodes poorly for the near term. That said, the bears will likely remain in control until the popular averages close above their important moving averages and the euro catches a bid.

  • Week-In-Review: Market Tests Support On Political Logjam

    First Real Test Of Support Since The Election Stocks fell last week and the major indices are testing support (50 day moving average line) for the first time since the election. The bulls argue that Trump’s pro-growth policies will get passed even if the healthcare bill doesn’t. On the other hand, the bears argue Trump’s…

  • Week In Review; 50 DMA Line Is Resistance

    The bears returned from a three day hiatus on Thursday afternoon and erased Wednesday’s gains, sending the DJIA and the Nasdaq composite back below their respective 50 DMA lines. In addition, volume was heavier than the recent advance which was not a healthy sign. The highly influential financial group continues to lag its peers, evidenced by the lackluster action in several key names. Most of the major financial firms are now trading below both their respective 50 DMA and 200 DMA lines, which is another ominous sign. Stocks got smacked on Friday after news spread that French President Nicolas Sarkozy threatened to leave the EU if the trillion dollar bailout was not passed. Again, volume rose as the major averages fell. What does all this mean for investors? Simple, the market is in a correction which reiterates the importance of adopting a defense stance until a new rally is confirmed. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *