Week-In-Review: Stocks Rally On Strong Economic & Earnings Data

Stocks Rally On Healthy Earnings and Economic Data

The market ended mostly higher last week as investors digested a slew of earnings, economic and central bank data. First, nearly every major central bank in the world continues its easy money stance. Even though the Fed, and a few other central banks, began raising rates, rates are still extremely low and they are doing so at a very measured (a.k.a. slow) rate. Also, if the market, or the economy, deteriorates, one would expect global central banks to stop raising or actually lower rates (depending on how steep the market/economy declines). That phenomenon is also known as the central bank put. That has been the prevailing bullish logic since the financial crisis. Second, economic data remains healthy as the market is now hoping for a big tax cut that will stimulate the economy. Finally, earnings continue to come in above estimates and that is another net positive. Stepping back, I know the market is extended to the upside so I wouldn’t be surprised to see another near term pullback unfold. Remember, eventually, this very strong bull market will end, but until it does, there is no point in fighting it.

Mon-Wed Action:

Stocks fell on Monday after Robert Mueller indicted Paul Manafort and Manafort’s right hand man. The charges against Mr. Manafort came from before he was the head Trump’s campaign. But they are serious nonetheless. Stocks largely pulled back on Monday to digest Friday’s very strong rally. Tuesday was the last day of October and the Dow & S&P 500 both enjoyed their 7th straight monthly gain. In fact, over the past year, the Dow & S&P 500 have been up 11 of the past 12 months. That is exceptionally strong. On Wednesday, stocks were quiet as the Fed decided to hold off and raise rates later in the year. That was largely expected so it was a non-event.

Thur & Fri Action:

Stocks were relatively quiet on Thursday as investors continued to digest a slew of data. According to Reuters, earnings remain strong. So far, close to 75% of the companies that have reported earnings have beat estimates, while 67% have surpassed sales estimates. Before Friday’s open, the Labor Department said, U.S. employers added 261k new jobs last month, missing estimates for 325k. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate slid to 4.1% which beat estimates for 4.2%.

Market Outlook: Bulls Are Running

The bulls are back in control and the market remains very strong. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. Get Our Free e-Book: Learn How To Buy Leading Stocks…EARLY. Get It Here…

Similar Posts

  • Volatile Month Finally Ends!

    Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally!
    The major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday, August 23, 2011 which was the 11th day of their latest rally attempt. It is important to note that all major rallies in history began with a FTD however not every FTD leads to a new rally (i.e. several FTDs fail). In addition, it is important to note that the major averages still are under pressure as they are all trading below their longer and shorter term moving averages (50 and 200 DMA lines) and are all still negative year-to-date. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. This rally will fail if/when August’s lows are breached. Until then, the bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

  • Korea, China, & EU Debt Woes Send Dow Below 50 DMA Line

    Tuesday, November 23, 2010 Stock Market Commentary: Stocks and a handful of commodities fell as the USD rallied after a slew of geopolitical threats sent investors rushing to so called “safe” investments (i.e. USD and Gold). The rally which began on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day ended on Tuesday. November 16, 2010 as stocks…

  • Middle East Riots Shake Stocks!

    Stock market commentary: It was encouraging to see the bulls show up and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines as this market proves resilient and simply refuses to go down. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Earnings Season Begins; Stocks Rally

    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. Put simply, stocks are strong. Trade accordingly. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Stocks & Commodities Rally As Dollar Falls

    The 12-week rally ended on Tuesday, November 16, 2010 after the major averages plunged in heavy volume back down towards their respective 50 DMA lines. In recent weeks, we have repeatedly written about how the major averages were experiencing wide-and-loose action after a big move and made it very clear that that was not a healthy sign. At this point, we are looking for a new rally to be confirmed with a new follow-through day before taking any new positions. Caution and patience are key at this point. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *