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Doth protest too much
By Adam Sarhan Major Disconnect Between Wall Street & Main Street We have argued for a long time that there is a major disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street. Since the March 2009 bottom, Wall Street has enjoyed very strong gains for one simple reason: #EasyMoney from the Fed and every other major central…
The Fed's Dot Plot Charts… What Are They?
Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2015-06-18/each-dot-represents-an-economist-s-forecast-ellenberg
The Fed's Dilemma
QE Cut By Another $10B: On Wednesday 4/30, the Fed ended its two-day meeting and tapered QE by another $10B. The vote was unanimous.to reduce QE from $55bn to $45bn per month. The Fed said the economy slowed in Q1 because of the weather. The focus remains firmly on the outlook for labor and inflation, both of which remain…
These Stocks Are Running Out Of Fuel
Running out of Fuel There is no question that the strongest area of the market in the past week or so has been the Fuel Cell Stocks: PLUG, FCEL, BLDP. Their moves were simply not sustainable and the action today (big negative/outside reversals- after a big move) typically suggests it is time for these stocks…
May 2010 Stock Market Commentary
Sovereign debt woes continue to be the bane of this rally. At the end of April the S&P Rating Agency downgraded Greece’s debt to “junk” status, which accelerated the steep sell-off in the euro and sent it down to its 2008 lows! This sparked a world-wide panic sell-off which sent stocks plunging. In addition, Spain and Portugal’s debt was also downgraded which put pressure on a host of capital markets. Italy and Iceland are the two nations which analysts believe are also dealing with ominous debt levels. All of this helped the US dollar enjoy one of its strongest gains against the euro in over a year. Since November, the greenback has rallied smartly and jumped above its 50-day moving average (DMA) and 200 DMA lines. As expected, the stronger dollar sent US stocks and a slew of commodities (i.e. dollar denominated assets) lower as investors continue to debate our economic future.
Death Cross: Not A Good Day For The So-Called "Risk" Trade
The Dow Jones Industrial Average & The Benchmark S&P 500 index and Nasdaq composite (not shown) are currently retesting their 2010 lows. As long as these lows hold, the current trading range remains intact. However, if the lows are breached, odds favor lower prices will follow. In addition, it is important to note that their 50 DMA lines are about to undercut their longer term 200 DMA lines which, as we now know, is not a “healthy” sign. It is also worrisome to see that other capital markets have hit new 2010 lows which suggests the bears are getting stronger (i.e. EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, and EUR/CHF are already at fresh 2010 lows).