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Another Ingredient For Higher Stock Prices
There are two sides to every trade: The Bulls & The Bears Basic Wall Street Lingo The bulls want the market (or stock) to go higher and the bears want the market (or stock) to go lower. Typically the bulls go “long” and the bears go “short” in order to express their view. The most…
Market Looks Toppy & A Closer Look At The Dow…
By Adam Sarhan, SarhanCapital Market Looks Toppy and A Closer Look At The Dow The market is getting weaker, not stronger. We are continuing to see more and more deterioration occurring as the major indices look toppy up here. The tape continues to break down. The bull market is over 6.5 years old and that…
Want A Better Way To Use The VIX? – The Fear Gauge
LIKE THIS POST? SIGN UP FOR OUR FREE NEWSLETTER The CBOE Market Volatility Index, more commonly known as the VIX, is misunderstood and misused by most people on Wall Street. Most people think the VIX measures volatility (after all the words “Market Volatility Index” are used in its name) but that is not always the…
Market States & 5 Market Cycles
Market States & Cycles 04.29.14 The stock market is constantly changing but the one constant throughout history is (has always and will always be ) human nature. The stories, stocks, centuries, asset class, bubbles, busts, change, but people don’t. That is why it is important to understand market cycles not just from a technical level…
3 Things I’ve Learned From Warren Buffett
By Bill Gates June 12, 2013 In May, I went to Omaha for the annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholders meeting. It’s always a lot of fun, and not just because of the ping-pong matches and the newspaper-throwing contest I have with Warren Buffett. It’s also fun because I get to learn from Warren and gain insight into how…
7 Things That Concern Me About This Rally- Right Now
1. We have come too far too fast. How many times do you remember seeing the SP500 soar 17% in 3 weeks (or know of it ever happening in history)? And the kicker- the move has been on below average volume! Moreover, if the market is to get back to 1370 (2011 highs) by year end- it will have to move 28% from Oct 4- Dec 31. Possible, but probable?
2. Nothing has changed- the “fundamental” mess that sent a slew of risk assets lower over the summer (i.e. US and EU debt issues, anemic economic growth, etc.)- are still unresolved… Everyone (right now) is focused on Greece. However, even if Greece is “handled” it does not address the broader issue: The other PIIGS are broke!
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3. Most bear markets last 18-24 months- not less than 1 day. The S&P 500 officially hit bear market territory on 10/4 (down 20% from its 2011 high) and that lasted for a tenth of a second because that was the exact low for the year (so far). Normally, the 18-24 months allow stocks to reset their bases and paves the way for new leadership to emerge.
